North Face Jackets
The storm, strengthening over Arizona this morning, is taking aim on our region. It will become a vertically stacked storm system, which means the upper low will end up almost directly above the surface low. This will slow the storm down and then it will be fascinating to watch it wander, like a slow moving hurricane, across Kansas. It will sort of have a mind of its own for about a day or two. Along and just north of the track of the upper low is the location for a chance of snow. It will be tough to forecast so let's see where this system tracks. It will likely come very close to our area Thursday night.
In the mean time it is exciting anyway. sale on north face jackets The first part of this storm will be rain. There is a chance we could end up with a nice soaking with an inch or rain or even a bit more possible. I think most of us will at least have a half of an inch of rain. This is a lot for one storm at this time of the year as we average just over one inch of liquid precipitation during December.
Above, notice the upper low from Wednesday to Thursday moves very slowly. We will be in the dry slot of the storm Wednesday night through most of Thursday and then as the storm moves closer to us and right overhead on Thursday night we have the chance of the north face jackets cheap some more precipitation. Also, notice storm 2, and on the last map I pointed arrows towards an EXTREMELY important but subtle feature. There is a little wave that tries to drop into the trough near Montana and heads south. If this feature can do this then it will force storm 2 to eject further north and then we will see snow on Christmas Eve or Christmas Day, but if that feature that I am pointing too doesn't get involved into that developing trough we will be left frustrated as we could still be in the trough but with no snow for Christmas. The GFS is all alone on this solution. It is very close, but I lean in the direction of it not happening at this point. And this is why we have just a slight chance of snow in our 7 day.
Another storm is showing up as storm 3 due in between Christmas and New Years. Can you see how close we are to having an extremely exciting weather pattern? So, once again, will we be left frustrated or will we, in 7 days, say wow, I can't believe that happened? Let's make sure we enjoy this first storm. It will produce some nice rain and then perhaps even more. Don't just take it for granted. We are going to have some exciting weather. A good start to this stretch heading our way.
More later on. Have a great day! Watch the newscasts tonight at 5, 6, and 10 and then tomorrow morning with Brett. We will be working on some special weather graphics to describe this storm system. This is one of the things I have pride in, putting the show together to make it exciting, but informative to the viewer.
Heard you on 810 WHB yesterday, and I couldn't agree with you more. But on to more pressing issues. I hope the snow moves in for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day even though I won't be here to see it. We'll be outside Huntington, WV on my wife's family's 600 acre farm. I'm trying to figure what the weather will be like out there and didn't know if you had any thoughts or any good websites that you trust that I could look at to get a reliable forecast. I know it's not your focus but I trust your weather more than anyone else's.
Thanks for any help and I hope KC gets a white Christmas. I don't expect it to dig to much further south. [Already got it to dig from ND down to KS!] Looking at the layer temps etc, I am actually more encouraged for the following storm. I believe the initial models of it digging into S Texas is crazy. I am thinking it will take about the same path as this first one, but about 100 miles or so futher south, which should put us into the snow. After this first one rolls through, it will drag the cold air behind it. This will help prep the atmosphere where the next vort will not have to bring its own cold air. Either way, we will get some much needed precip.
Gary, you may as well update your white Christmas to 30% now. The Christmas storm is much like the previous one we saw 40 days back, but this time with the stronger jet, I think it will track further north than the one in Nov. Also, I like the trend and per the GRC, this should be an exciting part of the cycle. As for snow, well im not going to think about the elusive white stuff until AFTER tomorrow and pretend its spring time with a nice rainstorm heading our way.